Der Ausgang der Wahlen in Frankreich und Griechenland hat gezeigt, dass der Rückhalt für eine nachhaltige Haushaltskonsolidierung und echte Strukturreformen in den EWU-Ländern weiter schwindet. Damit driften die Mitgliedstaaten politisch auseinander, die Fortentwicklung der Währungsunion zu einer Fiskalunion ist derzeit nicht in Sicht. Wir erwarten daher über 2013 hinaus ein Dahin-Dümpeln der Währungsunion, das neue Hilfsmaßnahmen, eventuell auch den Austritt eines Landes, erforderlich machen wird. Das aktuelle Niedrigzinsumfeld wird für die Beherrschbarkeit der Staatsschuldenkrise noch lange unverzichtbar bleiben.
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