Die Türkische Lira ist unter Druck geraten – nicht erst seit Beginn des neuen Jahres. Die Türkei ist ein Land mit chronischem Leistungsbilanzdefizit, das vor allem über den Zufluss von Portfoliokapital finanziert wird. Dieses wiederum benötigt eine attraktive Rendite. Steigen an den internationalen Kapitalmärkten die politischen Unsicherheiten, und damit die erwarteten Risikoprämien für das Land, fließt verstärkt Kapital ab, was wiederum zu höheren Renditen führt, gleichzeitig aber auch die Türkische Lira unter Druck setzt.
Doch die Türkei ist kein Einzelfall. Viele Schwellenländer, wie etwa Südafrika, haben ein strukturelles Leistungsbilanzdefizit, das hauptsächlich durch liquides und somit kurzfristiges Portfoliokapital finanziert wird. Und
Doch die Türkei ist kein Einzelfall. Viele Schwellenländer, wie etwa Südafrika, haben ein strukturelles Leistungsbilanzdefizit, das hauptsächlich durch liquides und somit kurzfristiges Portfoliokapital finanziert wird. Und
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